Walter Ferretti vs Diriangén prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Diriangén to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDiriangén to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceDiriangén or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.28
Walter Ferretti vs Diriangén preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Walter Ferretti take on Diriangén on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Walter Ferretti are 5th with 21 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Diriangén sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Walter Ferretti's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat H&H Export 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Diriangén's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat UNAN Managua 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Walter Ferretti and 2.1 for Diriangén. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Walter Ferretti 13%, draw 19%, Diriangén 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 56% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Diriangén to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Walter Ferretti 0–2 Diriangén. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Walter Ferretti13%fair 7.68 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
Diriangén68%fair 1.48 · @1.57
2.92Expected goals
0.80Walter Ferretti xG
2.12Diriangén xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Walter Ferretti 0.8 – 2.1 Diriangén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Diriangén to win✓
68%
1.48
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Diriangén or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Diriangén ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Diriangén / FT Diriangén✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.28
–
Form
Walter Ferretti – last 6
WLWDLW
4 Mar
vs H&H Export
3–1
W
2 Mar
@ Real Madriz
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs UNAN Managua
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Jalapa
0–0
D
19 Feb
vs Matagalpa
0–3
L
13 Feb
vs Managua
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Diriangén – last 5
WWDWL
5 Mar
@ UNAN Managua
2–1
W
26 Feb
vs Rancho Santana
5–1
W
22 Feb
vs Managua
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Real Madriz
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs H&H Export
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Walter Ferretti and Diriangén.
What is the prediction for Walter Ferretti vs Diriangén?
Our pick is Diriangén to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Walter Ferretti vs Diriangén?
On our numbers Walter Ferretti have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Diriangén 68%.
How many goals will there be in Walter Ferretti vs Diriangén?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Walter Ferretti vs Diriangén?
Our predicted score is Walter Ferretti 0–2 Diriangén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Walter Ferretti vs Diriangén?
Walter Ferretti vs Diriangén (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
