Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMatagalpa to win ✗50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60
UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa preview and prediction
The match
UNAN Managua host Matagalpa in the Primera Division on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT). UNAN Managua are 4th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Matagalpa sit 10th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UNAN Managua's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Diriangén 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Matagalpa's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Real Madriz 2–4 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Matagalpa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.3 for UNAN Managua and 1.8 for Matagalpa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: UNAN Managua 29%, draw 21%, Matagalpa 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: UNAN Managua 1–1 Matagalpa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UNAN Managua29%fair 3.42 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Matagalpa50%fair 2.00 · @2.05
3.15Expected goals
1.33UNAN Managua xG
1.82Matagalpa xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: UNAN Managua 1.3 – 1.8 Matagalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Matagalpa to win✗
50%
2.00
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Matagalpa / FT Matagalpa✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.60
–
Form
UNAN Managua – last 5
LLLLW
5 Mar
vs Diriangén
1–2
L
2 Mar
vs Real Estelí
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ Walter Ferretti
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ H&H Export
1–4
L
20 Feb
vs Managua
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Matagalpa – last 5
LDDWD
5 Mar
vs Real Madriz
2–4
L
26 Feb
vs H&H Export
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Real Estelí
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Walter Ferretti
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Managua
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UNAN Managua and Matagalpa.
What is the prediction for UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?
On our numbers UNAN Managua have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Matagalpa 50%.
How many goals will there be in UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?
Our predicted score is UNAN Managua 1–1 Matagalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa?
UNAN Managua vs Matagalpa (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
