Rochefort travel to Stade Leburton in the First Amateur Division on Sunday 10 May (14:00 WAT) to face Tubize. Tubize are 4th with 21 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Rochefort sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rochefort's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Excelsior Virton 3–5 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Tubize and 0.8 for Rochefort. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tubize 70%, draw 22%, Rochefort 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tubize to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tubize 2–0 Rochefort. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tubize70%fair 1.44 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @5.00
Rochefort8%fair 12.29 · @9.00
3.08Expected goals
2.31Tubize xG
0.77Rochefort xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tubize 2.3 – 0.8 Rochefort expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tubize to win✓
70%
1.44
1.25
Double chance
Tubize or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Tubize ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tubize / FT Tubize✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.14
–
Form
Tubize – last 2
LD
29 Mar
@ Habay-la-Neuve
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Meux
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Rochefort – last 3
LLW
3 May
vs Excelsior Virton
3–5
L
15 Mar
@ Habay-la-Neuve
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Standard Liège II
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tubize and Rochefort.
Our pick is Tubize to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tubize vs Rochefort?
On our numbers Tubize have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rochefort 8%.
How many goals will there be in Tubize vs Rochefort?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tubize vs Rochefort?
Our predicted score is Tubize 2–0 Rochefort, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tubize vs Rochefort?
Tubize vs Rochefort (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Leburton.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Union Namur3
Stockay-Warfusée1
Crossing Schaerbeek1
Excelsior Virton2