Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Stockay-Warfusée prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Union Saint-Gilloise II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Saint-Gilloise II to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceUnion Saint-Gilloise II or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.07
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Stockay-Warfusée preview and prediction
The match
The First Amateur Division sees Union Saint-Gilloise II take on Stockay-Warfusée on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Union Saint-Gilloise II's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Crossing Schaerbeek 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Stockay-Warfusée's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Union Namur 3–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Union Saint-Gilloise II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Stockay-Warfusée 1–3 Union Saint-Gilloise II.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Union Saint-Gilloise II and 1.1 for Stockay-Warfusée. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Saint-Gilloise II 58%, draw 24%, Stockay-Warfusée 18%.
Safer route: Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Union Saint-Gilloise II to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Union Saint-Gilloise II 2–1 Stockay-Warfusée. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Saint-Gilloise II58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.40
Stockay-Warfusée18%fair 5.57 · @3.40
3.10Expected goals
2.03Union Saint-Gilloise II xG
1.07Stockay-Warfusée xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Union Saint-Gilloise II 2.0 – 1.1 Stockay-Warfusée expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Saint-Gilloise II to win✓
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Union Saint-Gilloise II ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Saint-Gilloise II / FT Union Saint-Gilloise II✗
What is the prediction for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Stockay-Warfusée?
Our pick is Union Saint-Gilloise II or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Stockay-Warfusée?
On our numbers Union Saint-Gilloise II have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stockay-Warfusée 18%.
How many goals will there be in Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Stockay-Warfusée?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Stockay-Warfusée?
Our predicted score is Union Saint-Gilloise II 2–1 Stockay-Warfusée, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Stockay-Warfusée?
Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Stockay-Warfusée (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Union Namur3
Crossing Schaerbeek1
Excelsior Virton2