Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Botafogo to win @ 2.78 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo to win ✓40% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.24
Boavista SC vs Botafogo preview and prediction
The match
The Carioca 1 sees Boavista SC take on Botafogo on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estádio Elcyr Resende de Mendonça.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Boavista SC and 1.2 for Botafogo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Botafogo to win at 2.78 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Boavista SC 1–1 Botafogo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boavista SC35%fair 2.90 · @2.52
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Botafogo40%fair 2.50 · @2.78
2.29Expected goals
1.09Boavista SC xG
1.20Botafogo xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Boavista SC 1.1 – 1.2 Botafogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win✓
40%
2.50
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo✓
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
Boavista SC – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Madureira
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Botafogo – last 2
LL
19 Feb
@ Nacional Potosí
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boavista SC and Botafogo.
What is the prediction for Boavista SC vs Botafogo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Boavista SC vs Botafogo?
On our numbers Boavista SC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Botafogo 40%.
How many goals will there be in Boavista SC vs Botafogo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boavista SC vs Botafogo?
Our predicted score is Boavista SC 1–1 Botafogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Boavista SC vs Botafogo?
Boavista SC vs Botafogo (Carioca 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Elcyr Resende de Mendonça.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estádio Elcyr Resende de Mendonça
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