Double chanceMoreton City Excelsior or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II preview and prediction
The match
The Queensland NPL sees Moreton City Excelsior take on Brisbane Roar II on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Moreton City Excelsior's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Peninsula Power 4–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Brisbane Roar II's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Olympic 1–5 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Moreton City Excelsior arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.7 for Moreton City Excelsior and 1.0 for Brisbane Roar II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moreton City Excelsior 72%, draw 18%, Brisbane Roar II 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Moreton City Excelsior to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Brisbane Roar II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreton City Excelsior72%fair 1.39 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @5.25
Brisbane Roar II11%fair 9.51 · @6.20
3.72Expected goals
2.70Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.02Brisbane Roar II xG
65%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 2.7 – 1.0 Brisbane Roar II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Double chance
Moreton City Excelsior or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.77
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✓
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Form
Moreton City Excelsior – last 6
WWWWWL
18 Apr
@ Peninsula Power
4–1
W
11 Apr
vs Gold Coast United
2–1
W
7 Apr
@ Magic United
5–0
W
28 Mar
vs Eastern Suburbs
3–0
W
21 Mar
vs Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ WDSC Wolves
0–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Brisbane Roar II – last 6
LWLWLL
19 Apr
vs Olympic
1–5
L
12 Apr
vs Peninsula Power
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Magic United
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs WDSC Wolves
3–2
W
14 Mar
@ Rochedale Rovers
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Gold Coast United
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreton City Excelsior and Brisbane Roar II.
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?
Our pick is Moreton City Excelsior to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?
On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brisbane Roar II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?
Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Brisbane Roar II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?
Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Peninsula Power3
Lions2
Eastern Suburbs6
Rochedale Rovers1