Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Lions to win @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLions to win ✗53% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Peninsula Power vs Lions preview and prediction
The match
Peninsula Power host Lions in the Queensland NPL on Saturday 25 April, with kick-off at 07:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Peninsula Power's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Moreton City Excelsior 1–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Lions's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Gold Coast United 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.4 for Peninsula Power and 2.0 for Lions. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Peninsula Power 28%, draw 19%, Lions 53%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Lions to win at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Peninsula Power 1–2 Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Peninsula Power28%fair 3.63 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.65
Lions53%fair 1.88 · @2.00
3.38Expected goals
1.38Peninsula Power xG
2.00Lions xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
2–26%
2–16%
From our goals model: Peninsula Power 1.4 – 2.0 Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lions to win✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Half-time result
Lions ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lions / FT Lions✗
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.64
–
Form
Peninsula Power – last 6
LLWWDD
18 Apr
vs Moreton City Excelsior
1–4
L
12 Apr
@ Brisbane Roar II
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Gold Coast United
4–2
W
13 Mar
@ WDSC Wolves
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Olympic
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lions – last 6
WWDWWW
19 Apr
vs Gold Coast United
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ WDSC Wolves
5–0
W
28 Mar
vs Brisbane City
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Magic United
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ Eastern Suburbs
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peninsula Power and Lions.
What is the prediction for Peninsula Power vs Lions?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Peninsula Power vs Lions?
On our numbers Peninsula Power have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lions 53%.
How many goals will there be in Peninsula Power vs Lions?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peninsula Power vs Lions?
Our predicted score is Peninsula Power 1–2 Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Peninsula Power vs Lions?
Peninsula Power vs Lions (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Moreton City Excelsior6
Brisbane Roar II0
Eastern Suburbs6
Rochedale Rovers1