Lions host Brisbane City in the Queensland NPL on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Lions's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Magic United 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
Brisbane City's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Olympic 4–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Lions arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 2.9 for Lions and 1.5 for Brisbane City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lions 66%, draw 19%, Brisbane City 15%.
Safer route: Lions or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Lions 2–1 Brisbane City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lions66%fair 1.51 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.50
Brisbane City15%fair 6.73 · @5.00
4.40Expected goals
2.95Lions xG
1.45Brisbane City xG
69%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–26%
4–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Lions 2.9 – 1.5 Brisbane City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lions to win✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Double chance
Lions or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Lions ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lions / FT Lions✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.91
–
Form
Lions – last 5
WWWDL
22 Mar
vs Magic United
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ Eastern Suburbs
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
27 Feb
vs Gold Coast Knights
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Olympic
1–2
L
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Brisbane City – last 5
DLLWW
21 Mar
vs Olympic
4–4
D
14 Mar
vs Gold Coast Knights
2–4
L
7 Mar
vs Eastern Suburbs
0–4
L
28 Feb
vs Moreton City Excelsior
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Brisbane Roar II
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lions and Brisbane City.
What is the prediction for Lions vs Brisbane City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Lions vs Brisbane City?
On our numbers Lions have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Brisbane City 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lions vs Brisbane City?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lions vs Brisbane City?
Our predicted score is Lions 2–1 Brisbane City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Lions vs Brisbane City?
Lions vs Brisbane City (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Moreton City Excelsior3
Eastern Suburbs0
Olympic1
Gold Coast Knights0