Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs preview and prediction
The match
Moreton City Excelsior host Eastern Suburbs in the Queensland NPL on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 09:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Moreton City Excelsior's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Rochedale Rovers 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Eastern Suburbs's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Gold Coast Knights 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.2 for Moreton City Excelsior and 1.4 for Eastern Suburbs. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Eastern Suburbs. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreton City Excelsior58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw17%fair 6.06 · @4.10
Eastern Suburbs25%fair 3.96 · @3.55
3.59Expected goals
2.21Moreton City Excelsior xG
1.38Eastern Suburbs xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Moreton City Excelsior 2.2 – 1.4 Eastern Suburbs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreton City Excelsior to win✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Half-time result
Moreton City Excelsior ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreton City Excelsior / FT Moreton City Excelsior✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Form
Moreton City Excelsior – last 4
WLLW
21 Mar
vs Rochedale Rovers
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ WDSC Wolves
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Brisbane City
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Gold Coast Knights
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Eastern Suburbs – last 5
LLWWL
20 Mar
vs Gold Coast Knights
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Lions
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Brisbane City
4–0
W
1 Mar
vs Brisbane Roar II
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ Peninsula Power
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreton City Excelsior and Eastern Suburbs.
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs?
On our numbers Moreton City Excelsior have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Eastern Suburbs 25%.
How many goals will there be in Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs?
Our predicted score is Moreton City Excelsior 2–1 Eastern Suburbs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs?
Moreton City Excelsior vs Eastern Suburbs (Queensland NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Queensland NPL · Australia
Olympic1
Gold Coast Knights0
Lions2
Brisbane City2