Value bet: Portugal W to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortugal W to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Finland W vs Portugal W preview and prediction
The match
Finland W host Portugal W in the World Cup Women Qualification Europe on Tuesday 9 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Finland W's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Slovakia W 4–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Portugal W's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Latvia W 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portugal W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Portugal W 2–0 Finland W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Finland W and 1.6 for Portugal W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Finland W 36%, draw 24%, Portugal W 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Portugal W to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Finland W 1–1 Portugal W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Finland W36%fair 2.80 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Portugal W40%fair 2.47 · @2.80
3.04Expected goals
1.46Finland W xG
1.57Portugal W xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Finland W 1.5 – 1.6 Portugal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Finland W vs Portugal W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Finland W vs Portugal W?
On our numbers Finland W have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Portugal W 40%.
How many goals will there be in Finland W vs Portugal W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finland W vs Portugal W?
Our predicted score is Finland W 1–1 Portugal W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Finland W vs Portugal W?
Finland W vs Portugal W (World Cup Women Qualification Europe) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Slovenia W0
Germany W2
Norway W2
Austria W1
Wales W3
Czech Republic W1
Albania W5
Montenegro W2
Georgia W2
Greece W3
Sweden W2
Italy W2
Serbia W1
Denmark W4
Northern Ireland W1
Switzerland W2