Italy W travel to face Sweden W in the World Cup Women Qualification Europe on Tuesday 9 June (18:00 WAT).
Form guide
Sweden W's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Denmark W 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Italy W's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Serbia W 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Italy W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Italy W 0–1 Sweden W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Sweden W and 0.8 for Italy W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sweden W 59%, draw 19%, Italy W 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sweden W 1–0 Italy W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sweden W59%fair 1.69 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @3.65
Italy W22%fair 4.52 · @4.75
2.34Expected goals
1.56Sweden W xG
0.78Italy W xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sweden W 1.6 – 0.8 Italy W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sweden W vs Italy W?
On our numbers Sweden W have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Italy W 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sweden W vs Italy W?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sweden W vs Italy W?
Our predicted score is Sweden W 1–0 Italy W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sweden W vs Italy W?
Sweden W vs Italy W (World Cup Women Qualification Europe) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.