Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 53% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpain W to win ✓74% · @1.10
Double chanceSpain W or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Iceland W vs Spain W preview and prediction
The match
Iceland W host Spain W in the World Cup Women Qualification Europe on Tuesday 9 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Iceland W's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Ukraine W 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spain W's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat England W 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spain W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Spain W 3–0 Iceland W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.7 for Iceland W and 2.2 for Spain W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Iceland W 12%, draw 14%, Spain W 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.38.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.38 – 53% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Iceland W 0–2 Spain W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iceland W12%fair 8.21 · @21.00
Draw14%fair 7.02 · @7.00
Spain W74%fair 1.36 · @1.10
2.94Expected goals
0.71Iceland W xG
2.22Spain W xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Iceland W 0.7 – 2.2 Spain W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Iceland W vs Spain W?
On our numbers Iceland W have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Spain W 74%.
How many goals will there be in Iceland W vs Spain W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iceland W vs Spain W?
Our predicted score is Iceland W 0–2 Spain W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Iceland W vs Spain W?
Iceland W vs Spain W (World Cup Women Qualification Europe) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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