Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Palmeiras vs Capivariano preview and prediction
The match
Palmeiras host Capivariano in the Paulista A1 on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Arena Barueri.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 2.0 for Palmeiras and 0.5 for Capivariano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Palmeiras 2–0 Capivariano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palmeiras76%fair 1.32 · @1.17
Draw16%fair 6.31 · @6.00
Capivariano9%fair 11.75 · @21.00
2.47Expected goals
2.01Palmeiras xG
0.46Capivariano xG
43%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–017%
1–017%
3–011%
0–08%
2–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 2.0 – 0.5 Capivariano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.48
Half-time result
Palmeiras ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
17%
5.83
–
Form
Palmeiras – last 2
DW
16 Feb
vs Guarani Campinas
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Internacional
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Capivariano – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ Botafogo SP
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and Capivariano.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Capivariano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Capivariano?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Capivariano 9%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Capivariano?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Capivariano?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 2–0 Capivariano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Capivariano?
Palmeiras vs Capivariano (Paulista A1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Barueri.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A1 · Brazil · Arena Barueri
Novorizontino2
Santos1