Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLaci to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceLaci or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.44
Laci vs Pogradeci preview and prediction
The match
Laci host Pogradeci in the 1st Division on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Laci's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Pogradeci's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Burreli 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pogradeci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Laci and 0.8 for Pogradeci. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Laci 64%, draw 20%, Pogradeci 16%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Laci to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Laci 1–0 Pogradeci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Laci64%fair 1.57 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Pogradeci16%fair 6.30 · @4.75
2.62Expected goals
1.85Laci xG
0.77Pogradeci xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Laci 1.9 – 0.8 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Laci to win✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Double chance
Laci or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Laci ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Laci / FT Laci✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
Laci – last 4
DWWW
22 Mar
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Besa Kavajë
5–3
W
28 Feb
@ Lushnja
5–1
W
21 Feb
vs Luftëtari
2–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Pogradeci – last 5
WWWWW
22 Mar
@ Burreli
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë
3–0
W
28 Feb
@ Apolonia Fier
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Lushnja
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Burreli
2–0
W
2.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Laci and Pogradeci.
Our pick is Laci to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Laci vs Pogradeci?
On our numbers Laci have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pogradeci 16%.
How many goals will there be in Laci vs Pogradeci?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laci vs Pogradeci?
Our predicted score is Laci 1–0 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Laci vs Pogradeci?
Laci vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Luftëtari2
Apolonia Fier1
Lushnja0