Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Qingdao Youth Island to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultQingdao Youth Island to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceQingdao Youth Island or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 9.17
Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Qingdao Youth Island take on Qingdao Jonoon on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center. Qingdao Youth Island are 8th with 39 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Qingdao Jonoon sit 16th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Qingdao Youth Island's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Shenyang Urban 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Qingdao Jonoon's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Tianjin Teda 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Qingdao Youth Island arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Qingdao Jonoon 0–0 Qingdao Youth Island.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Qingdao Youth Island and 0.9 for Qingdao Jonoon. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Safer route: Qingdao Youth Island or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Qingdao Youth Island to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Qingdao Youth Island 2–0 Qingdao Jonoon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Youth Island64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.80
Qingdao Jonoon14%fair 7.00 · @4.00
3.01Expected goals
2.11Qingdao Youth Island xG
0.91Qingdao Jonoon xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Qingdao Youth Island 2.1 – 0.9 Qingdao Jonoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qingdao Youth Island to win✓
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Qingdao Youth Island or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Half-time result
Qingdao Youth Island ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qingdao Youth Island / FT Qingdao Youth Island✓
What is the prediction for Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon?
On our numbers Qingdao Youth Island have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Qingdao Jonoon 14%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Youth Island 2–0 Qingdao Jonoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon?
Qingdao Youth Island vs Qingdao Jonoon (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
