Value bet: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSichuan Jiuniu to win ✓42% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long preview and prediction
The match
Sichuan Jiuniu host Chongqing Tongliang Long in the Super League on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Shenzhen Stadium. Sichuan Jiuniu are 11th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 10th on 36 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sichuan Jiuniu's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Yunnan Yukun 3–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Wuhan Three Towns 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–0 Sichuan Jiuniu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Sichuan Jiuniu and 1.3 for Chongqing Tongliang Long. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sichuan Jiuniu42%fair 2.39 · @2.16
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Chongqing Tongliang Long34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
2.70Expected goals
1.43Sichuan Jiuniu xG
1.27Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sichuan Jiuniu 1.4 – 1.3 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
On our numbers Sichuan Jiuniu have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our predicted score is Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Shenzhen Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
