Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Shandong Luneng to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.94 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.94Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✗63% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye preview and prediction
The match
Shandong Luneng host Henan Jianye in the Super League on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 12:35 (WAT) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center. Shandong Luneng are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Henan Jianye sit 14th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shandong Luneng's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Henan Jianye's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Dalian Zhixing 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Shandong Luneng arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Shandong Luneng and 1.1 for Henan Jianye. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 64%.
Our pre-match pick was Shandong Luneng to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.94, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shandong Luneng 2–1 Henan Jianye. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shandong Luneng63%fair 1.58 · @1.94
Draw15%fair 6.84 · @3.85
Henan Jianye22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
3.25Expected goals
2.13Shandong Luneng xG
1.13Henan Jianye xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 2.1 – 1.1 Henan Jianye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✗
63%
1.58
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.73
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Shandong Luneng – last 6
DLWLWW
21 Jul
@ Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Dalian Zhixing
1–3
L
10 Jul
vs Yunnan Yukun
4–3
W
4 Jul
@ Beijing Guoan
0–2
L
27 Jun
@ Shenyang Urban
5–1
W
20 Jun
@ Guangxi Hengchen
5–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Henan Jianye – last 6
DWLLWL
21 Jul
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–1
D
17 Jul
vs Qingdao Jonoon
5–1
W
3 Jul
@ Yunnan Yukun
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–2
L
19 Jun
@ Jiangxi Liansheng
2–0
W
30 May
vs Hangzhou Greentown
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shandong Luneng and Henan Jianye.
What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?
Our pick is Shandong Luneng to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.94.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?
On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Henan Jianye 22%.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?
Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 2–1 Henan Jianye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?
Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
