Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Chengdu Better City to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChengdu Better City to win ✗57% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Chengdu Better City take on Beijing Guoan on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 12:35 (WAT) at Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park. Chengdu Better City are 2nd with 52 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Beijing Guoan sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chengdu Better City's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Yunnan Yukun 3–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Beijing Guoan's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Dalian Kewei 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Beijing Guoan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Beijing Guoan 1–2 Chengdu Better City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.9 for Chengdu Better City and 1.1 for Beijing Guoan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Value angle: Chengdu Better City to win at 1.88 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Chengdu Better City 1–1 Beijing Guoan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chengdu Better City57%fair 1.75 · @1.88
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.75
Beijing Guoan24%fair 4.21 · @3.45
3.08Expected goals
1.93Chengdu Better City xG
1.15Beijing Guoan xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Chengdu Better City 1.9 – 1.1 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Chengdu Better City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Beijing Guoan 24%.
How many goals will there be in Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Chengdu Better City 1–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan?
Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
