Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan preview and prediction
The match
Beijing Guoan travel to Guzhenkou University Sports Center in the Super League on Tuesday 19 May (13:00 WAT) to face Qingdao Youth Island. Qingdao Youth Island are 8th with 39 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Beijing Guoan sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Qingdao Youth Island's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Beijing Guoan's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Beijing Guoan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Qingdao Youth Island and 1.6 for Beijing Guoan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Beijing Guoan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Youth Island30%fair 3.35 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Beijing Guoan48%fair 2.07 · @2.02
2.77Expected goals
1.18Qingdao Youth Island xG
1.59Beijing Guoan xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Qingdao Youth Island 1.2 – 1.6 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✗
48%
2.07
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.01
–
Form
Qingdao Youth Island – last 6
DDDDDD
10 May
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
5 May
vs Tianjin Teda
1–1
D
1 May
@ Shandong Luneng
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
DWDWDL
10 May
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
2–2
D
6 May
vs Dalian Zhixing
3–0
W
2 May
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Chengdu Better City
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Youth Island and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Qingdao Youth Island have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Beijing Guoan 48%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan?
Qingdao Youth Island vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
