Value bet: Tianjin Teda to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTianjin Teda to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.49
Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Tianjin Teda take on Henan Jianye on Tuesday 19 May, kicking off at 12:35 (WAT) at TEDA Football Stadium. Tianjin Teda are 12th with 31 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Henan Jianye sit 14th on 28 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tianjin Teda's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Hangzhou Greentown 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Henan Jianye's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Chengdu Better City 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Tianjin Teda and 1.2 for Henan Jianye. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tianjin Teda 39%, draw 25%, Henan Jianye 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Tianjin Teda to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tianjin Teda 1–1 Henan Jianye. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tianjin Teda39%fair 2.58 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.05
Henan Jianye37%fair 2.72 · @2.45
2.48Expected goals
1.26Tianjin Teda xG
1.22Henan Jianye xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Tianjin Teda 1.3 – 1.2 Henan Jianye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tianjin Teda to win✗
39%
2.58
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tianjin Teda / FT Tianjin Teda✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.49
–
Form
Tianjin Teda – last 6
DDLWDL
10 May
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–1
D
5 May
@ Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
21 Apr
vs Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–0
W
12 Apr
vs Qingdao Jonoon
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Henan Jianye – last 6
LDWLDL
9 May
@ Chengdu Better City
0–3
L
5 May
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
1 May
vs Shenyang Urban
4–0
W
26 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
0–3
L
22 Apr
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tianjin Teda and Henan Jianye.
What is the prediction for Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?
On our numbers Tianjin Teda have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Henan Jianye 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?
Our predicted score is Tianjin Teda 1–1 Henan Jianye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye?
Tianjin Teda vs Henan Jianye (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at TEDA Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
