Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChongqing Tongliang Long to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.41
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye preview and prediction
The match
Chongqing Tongliang Long host Henan Jianye in the Super League on Tuesday 5 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Tongliang Long Stadium. Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Henan Jianye sit 14th on 28 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Dalian Zhixing 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Henan Jianye's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Shenyang Urban 4–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.0 for Henan Jianye. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 Henan Jianye. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chongqing Tongliang Long39%fair 2.58 · @2.62
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @3.10
Henan Jianye32%fair 3.09 · @2.62
2.19Expected goals
1.20Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
0.98Henan Jianye xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.2 – 1.0 Henan Jianye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chongqing Tongliang Long to win✗
39%
2.58
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chongqing Tongliang Long / FT Chongqing Tongliang Long✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.41
–
Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
LDWWWD
1 May
@ Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Chengdu Better City
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Henan Jianye – last 6
WLDLDW
1 May
vs Shenyang Urban
4–0
W
26 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
0–3
L
22 Apr
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Henan Jianye.
What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?
On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Henan Jianye 32%.
How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?
Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 Henan Jianye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye?
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Henan Jianye (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
