Value bet: Tianjin Teda to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQingdao Youth Island to win ✗36% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Qingdao Youth Island take on Tianjin Teda on Tuesday 5 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center. Qingdao Youth Island are 8th with 39 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Tianjin Teda sit 12th on 31 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Qingdao Youth Island's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Shandong Luneng 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tianjin Teda's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Shandong Luneng 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Qingdao Youth Island and 1.2 for Tianjin Teda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qingdao Youth Island 36%, draw 29%, Tianjin Teda 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Tianjin Teda to win at 3.15 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Tianjin Teda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Youth Island36%fair 2.82 · @2.20
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @3.15
Tianjin Teda35%fair 2.82 · @3.15
2.29Expected goals
1.09Qingdao Youth Island xG
1.20Tianjin Teda xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Qingdao Youth Island 1.1 – 1.2 Tianjin Teda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qingdao Youth Island to win✗
36%
2.82
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tianjin Teda / FT Tianjin Teda✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.07
–
Form
Qingdao Youth Island – last 6
DDDDLW
1 May
@ Shandong Luneng
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Chengdu Better City
1–5
L
21 Mar
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tianjin Teda – last 6
LWDLLD
21 Apr
vs Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–0
W
12 Apr
vs Qingdao Jonoon
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Shenyang Urban
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Youth Island and Tianjin Teda.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
On our numbers Qingdao Youth Island have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tianjin Teda 35%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Tianjin Teda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda?
Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Teda (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Guzhenkou University Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
