Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Yunnan Yukun take on Beijing Guoan on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium. Yunnan Yukun are 6th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Beijing Guoan sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Yunnan Yukun's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Dalian Zhixing 3–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Beijing Guoan's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Sichuan Jiuniu 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Yunnan Yukun and 1.7 for Beijing Guoan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Beijing Guoan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yunnan Yukun36%fair 2.75 · @2.52
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.65
Beijing Guoan41%fair 2.41 · @2.40
3.23Expected goals
1.55Yunnan Yukun xG
1.67Beijing Guoan xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Yunnan Yukun 1.6 – 1.7 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✗
41%
2.41
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.59
–
Form
Yunnan Yukun – last 6
WLLWLL
26 Apr
@ Dalian Zhixing
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Chengdu Better City
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs Tianjin Teda
0–3
L
12 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
4–3
W
4 Apr
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Henan Jianye
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
WDLLDL
21 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Chengdu Better City
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yunnan Yukun and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Yunnan Yukun have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Beijing Guoan 41%.
How many goals will there be in Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan?
Yunnan Yukun vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
