Value bet: Qingdao Jonoon to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSHANGHAI SIPG to win ✗45% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Qingdao Jonoon take on SHANGHAI SIPG on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium. Qingdao Jonoon are 16th with 15 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while SHANGHAI SIPG sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Qingdao Jonoon's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Shandong Luneng 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
SHANGHAI SIPG's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Qingdao Jonoon and 1.5 for SHANGHAI SIPG. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Qingdao Jonoon to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 SHANGHAI SIPG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Jonoon33%fair 3.04 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
SHANGHAI SIPG45%fair 2.21 · @2.08
2.79Expected goals
1.26Qingdao Jonoon xG
1.53SHANGHAI SIPG xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Qingdao Jonoon 1.3 – 1.5 SHANGHAI SIPG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SHANGHAI SIPG to win✗
45%
2.21
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SHANGHAI SIPG / FT SHANGHAI SIPG✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
Qingdao Jonoon – last 6
WLDDWL
26 Apr
vs Shandong Luneng
4–1
W
22 Apr
@ Shanghai Shenhua
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Hangzhou Greentown
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SHANGHAI SIPG – last 6
LDWLWL
21 Apr
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Shandong Luneng
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Qingdao Youth Island
4–1
W
7 Mar
vs Henan Jianye
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Jonoon and SHANGHAI SIPG.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
On our numbers Qingdao Jonoon have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SHANGHAI SIPG 45%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Jonoon 1–1 SHANGHAI SIPG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Qingdao Jonoon vs SHANGHAI SIPG (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
