Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Henan Jianye to win @ 1.78 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHenan Jianye to win ✗66% · @1.78
Double chanceHenan Jianye or draw ✗88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye preview and prediction
The match
Henan Jianye travel to Qingdao Youth Football Stadium in the Super League on Saturday 4 April (08:30 WAT) to face Qingdao Jonoon. Qingdao Jonoon are 16th with 15 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Henan Jianye sit 14th on 28 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Qingdao Jonoon's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Hangzhou Greentown 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Henan Jianye's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Henan Jianye arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.8 for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.1 for Henan Jianye. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Henan Jianye to win at 1.78 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Qingdao Jonoon 0–2 Henan Jianye. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qingdao Jonoon12%fair 8.04 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.60
Henan Jianye66%fair 1.51 · @1.78
3.00Expected goals
0.85Qingdao Jonoon xG
2.15Henan Jianye xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Qingdao Jonoon 0.8 – 2.1 Henan Jianye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Henan Jianye to win✗
66%
1.51
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Henan Jianye or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Half-time result
Henan Jianye ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Henan Jianye / FT Henan Jianye✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Qingdao Jonoon – last 3
LLL
20 Mar
vs Hangzhou Greentown
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Chengdu Better City
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ Yunnan Yukun
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Henan Jianye – last 3
DWW
21 Mar
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
7 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qingdao Jonoon and Henan Jianye.
What is the prediction for Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?
On our numbers Qingdao Jonoon have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Henan Jianye 66%.
How many goals will there be in Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?
Our predicted score is Qingdao Jonoon 0–2 Henan Jianye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye?
Qingdao Jonoon vs Henan Jianye (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
