Shenyang Urban vs Beijing Guoan preview and prediction
The match
Shenyang Urban host Beijing Guoan in the Super League on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 08:30 (WAT) at Shenyang Urban Construction University Stadium. Shenyang Urban are 13th with 29 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Beijing Guoan sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shenyang Urban's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Tianjin Teda 3–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Beijing Guoan's last 4: DLWW Most recently they drew with Shanghai Shenhua 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Beijing Guoan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Shenyang Urban and 1.5 for Beijing Guoan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Shenyang Urban 1–1 Beijing Guoan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shenyang Urban33%fair 3.02 · @3.05
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.60
Beijing Guoan47%fair 2.14 · @2.06
2.66Expected goals
1.18Shenyang Urban xG
1.48Beijing Guoan xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shenyang Urban 1.2 – 1.5 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✗
47%
2.14
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.70
–
Form
Shenyang Urban – last 3
WLL
21 Mar
vs Tianjin Teda
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 4
DLWW
21 Mar
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Wuhan Three Towns
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shenyang Urban and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Shenyang Urban vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shenyang Urban vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Shenyang Urban have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Beijing Guoan 47%.
How many goals will there be in Shenyang Urban vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shenyang Urban vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Shenyang Urban 1–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shenyang Urban vs Beijing Guoan?
Shenyang Urban vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Shenyang Urban Construction University Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
