Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris preview and prediction
The match
The A Lyga sees Panevėžys take on Kauno Žalgiris on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Aukstaitijos Stadium. Panevėžys are 7th with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Kauno Žalgiris sit 1st on 58 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Panevėžys's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Hegelmann Litauen 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Džiugas Telšiai 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Kauno Žalgiris 4–0 Panevėžys. Across their last 2 meetings Panevėžys have won 0, Kauno Žalgiris 2, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Panevėžys and 2.1 for Kauno Žalgiris. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Panevėžys 11%, draw 21%, Kauno Žalgiris 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Panevėžys 0–2 Kauno Žalgiris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panevėžys11%fair 9.12 · @6.40
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.90
Kauno Žalgiris68%fair 1.46 · @1.45
2.89Expected goals
0.75Panevėžys xG
2.14Kauno Žalgiris xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–112%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Panevėžys 0.8 – 2.1 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Panevėžys have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kauno Žalgiris 68%.
How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is Panevėžys 0–2 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Panevėžys vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
