Value bet: Hegelmann Litauen to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHegelmann Litauen to win ✗38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.69
Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen preview and prediction
The match
Hegelmann Litauen travel to Telsiai Central Stadium in the A Lyga on Friday 1 May (16:00 WAT) to face Džiugas Telšiai. Džiugas Telšiai are 6th with 42 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Hegelmann Litauen sit 8th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Džiugas Telšiai's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hegelmann Litauen's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Banga 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Džiugas Telšiai and 1.2 for Hegelmann Litauen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Hegelmann Litauen to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Džiugas Telšiai 1–1 Hegelmann Litauen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Džiugas Telšiai38%fair 2.65 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Hegelmann Litauen38%fair 2.64 · @2.88
2.30Expected goals
1.15Džiugas Telšiai xG
1.15Hegelmann Litauen xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Džiugas Telšiai 1.2 – 1.2 Hegelmann Litauen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hegelmann Litauen to win✗
38%
2.64
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hegelmann Litauen / FT Hegelmann Litauen✗
20%
4.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.69
–
Form
Džiugas Telšiai – last 6
LWLWDW
26 Apr
vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0–3
L
22 Apr
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Suduva Marijampole
2–3
L
5 Apr
@ Panevėžys
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ TransINVEST Vilnius
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Banga
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hegelmann Litauen – last 6
LWDWDD
26 Apr
@ Banga
1–2
L
21 Apr
@ Tauras
4–1
W
17 Apr
vs FK Trakai
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs TransINVEST Vilnius
3–1
W
22 Mar
vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Šiauliai
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Džiugas Telšiai and Hegelmann Litauen.
What is the prediction for Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?
On our numbers Džiugas Telšiai have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hegelmann Litauen 38%.
How many goals will there be in Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Our predicted score is Džiugas Telšiai 1–1 Hegelmann Litauen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Džiugas Telšiai vs Hegelmann Litauen (A Lyga) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Telsiai Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
