Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.58 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.58Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKauno Žalgiris to win ✗66% · @1.58
Double chanceKauno Žalgiris or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris preview and prediction
The match
Kauno Žalgiris travel to Gargzdai stadium in the A Lyga on Friday 1 May (15:00 WAT) to face Banga. Banga are 5th with 42 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Kauno Žalgiris sit 1st on 58 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Banga's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Hegelmann Litauen 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Sveikata 3–0 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 Banga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Banga and 1.9 for Kauno Žalgiris. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Banga 14%, draw 20%, Kauno Žalgiris 66%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.86.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kauno Žalgiris to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.58, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Banga 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Banga14%fair 7.17 · @4.70
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.45
Kauno Žalgiris66%fair 1.51 · @1.58
2.64Expected goals
0.72Banga xG
1.92Kauno Žalgiris xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Banga 0.7 – 1.9 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Kauno Žalgiris to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Banga have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kauno Žalgiris 66%.
How many goals will there be in Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is Banga 0–1 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gargzdai stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.