Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Džiugas Telšiai to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDžiugas Telšiai to win64% · @1.85
Double chanceDžiugas Telšiai or draw87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 5.12
Džiugas Telšiai vs Šiauliai preview and prediction
The match
Džiugas Telšiai host Šiauliai in the A Lyga on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Telsiai Central Stadium. Džiugas Telšiai are 6th with 42 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Šiauliai sit 9th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Džiugas Telšiai's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Panevėžys 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Šiauliai's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with FK Trakai 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Džiugas Telšiai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Džiugas Telšiai and 0.5 for Šiauliai. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Džiugas Telšiai 64%, draw 23%, Šiauliai 13%.
Safer route: Džiugas Telšiai or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Džiugas Telšiai to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Džiugas Telšiai or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Džiugas Telšiai 1–0 Šiauliai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Džiugas Telšiai64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Šiauliai13%fair 7.45 · @3.75
2.07Expected goals
1.55Džiugas Telšiai xG
0.52Šiauliai xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Džiugas Telšiai 1.5 – 0.5 Šiauliai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Džiugas Telšiai to win
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Džiugas Telšiai or draw
87%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Džiugas Telšiai / FT Džiugas Telšiai
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
20%
5.12
–
Form
Džiugas Telšiai – last 6
WDWWLW
5 Apr
@ Panevėžys
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ TransINVEST Vilnius
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Banga
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ FK Trakai
2–0
W
7 Mar
vs Kauno Žalgiris
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Šiauliai – last 5
DLDDD
20 Mar
@ FK Trakai
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Kauno Žalgiris
0–5
L
11 Mar
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Suduva Marijampole
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ TransINVEST Vilnius
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Džiugas Telšiai and Šiauliai.
What is the prediction for Džiugas Telšiai vs Šiauliai?
Our pick is Džiugas Telšiai or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Džiugas Telšiai vs Šiauliai?
On our numbers Džiugas Telšiai have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Šiauliai 13%.
How many goals will there be in Džiugas Telšiai vs Šiauliai?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Džiugas Telšiai vs Šiauliai?
Our predicted score is Džiugas Telšiai 1–0 Šiauliai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Džiugas Telšiai vs Šiauliai?
Džiugas Telšiai vs Šiauliai (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Telsiai Central Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
