TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
TransINVEST Vilnius or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: TransINVEST Vilnius to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTransINVEST Vilnius to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceTransINVEST Vilnius or draw ✗87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.17
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys preview and prediction
The match
Panevėžys travel to Sirvintu stadionas in the A Lyga on Sunday 12 April (12:15 WAT) to face TransINVEST Vilnius. TransINVEST Vilnius are 4th with 52 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Panevėžys sit 7th on 38 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
TransINVEST Vilnius's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Hegelmann Litauen 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Panevėžys's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Džiugas Telšiai 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
TransINVEST Vilnius arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for TransINVEST Vilnius and 0.6 for Panevėžys. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: TransINVEST Vilnius 63%, draw 23%, Panevėžys 13%.
Safer route: TransINVEST Vilnius or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Value angle: TransINVEST Vilnius to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was TransINVEST Vilnius or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: TransINVEST Vilnius 1–0 Panevėžys. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TransINVEST Vilnius63%fair 1.58 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.50
Panevėžys13%fair 7.44 · @3.50
2.36Expected goals
1.72TransINVEST Vilnius xG
0.64Panevėžys xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: TransINVEST Vilnius 1.7 – 0.6 Panevėžys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TransINVEST Vilnius to win✗
63%
1.58
1.83 ▲
Double chance
TransINVEST Vilnius or draw✗
87%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
TransINVEST Vilnius ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TransINVEST Vilnius / FT TransINVEST Vilnius✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.17
–
Form
TransINVEST Vilnius – last 6
LDWWLW
4 Apr
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Džiugas Telšiai
0–0
D
16 Mar
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Banga
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Suduva Marijampole
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs FK Trakai
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Panevėžys – last 6
LWLDLD
5 Apr
vs Džiugas Telšiai
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs FK Trakai
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–4
L
7 Mar
vs Hegelmann Litauen
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–4
L
22 Feb
vs Suduva Marijampole
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TransINVEST Vilnius and Panevėžys.
What is the prediction for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys?
Our pick is TransINVEST Vilnius or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys?
On our numbers TransINVEST Vilnius have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Panevėžys 13%.
How many goals will there be in TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys?
Our predicted score is TransINVEST Vilnius 1–0 Panevėžys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys?
TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Sirvintu stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
