FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris preview and prediction
The match
Kauno Žalgiris travel to LFF stadionas in the A Lyga on Sunday 5 April (16:45 WAT) to face FK Zalgiris Vilnius. FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3rd with 54 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Kauno Žalgiris sit 1st on 58 points (top of the table).
Form guide
FK Zalgiris Vilnius's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Hegelmann Litauen 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Šiauliai 5–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kauno Žalgiris arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.6 for Kauno Žalgiris. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 30%, draw 22%, Kauno Žalgiris 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–1 Kauno Žalgiris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Zalgiris Vilnius30%fair 3.36 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Kauno Žalgiris48%fair 2.07 · @2.15
2.72Expected goals
1.15FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG
1.56Kauno Žalgiris xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.2 – 1.6 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kauno Žalgiris to win✓
48%
2.07
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kauno Žalgiris / FT Kauno Žalgiris✓
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.69
–
Form
FK Zalgiris Vilnius – last 6
DLWWLW
22 Mar
@ Hegelmann Litauen
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs TransINVEST Vilnius
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Suduva Marijampole
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Panevėžys
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Džiugas Telšiai
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Ogre United
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kauno Žalgiris – last 6
WWWWWW
15 Mar
@ Šiauliai
5–0
W
10 Mar
vs Panevėžys
4–0
W
7 Mar
@ Džiugas Telšiai
2–1
W
28 Feb
vs Banga
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ FK Trakai
2–1
W
16 Feb
vs Panevėžys
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Zalgiris Vilnius and Kauno Žalgiris.
What is the prediction for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers FK Zalgiris Vilnius have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kauno Žalgiris 48%.
How many goals will there be in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–1 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at LFF stadionas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
