Value bet: Džiugas Telšiai to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPanevėžys to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.08
Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai preview and prediction
The match
The A Lyga sees Panevėžys take on Džiugas Telšiai on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Aukstaitijos Stadium. Panevėžys are 7th with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Džiugas Telšiai sit 6th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Panevėžys's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat FK Trakai 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Džiugas Telšiai's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with TransINVEST Vilnius 0–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Džiugas Telšiai arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Panevėžys and 1.2 for Džiugas Telšiai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Džiugas Telšiai to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Panevėžys 1–1 Džiugas Telšiai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panevėžys41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Džiugas Telšiai36%fair 2.82 · @3.30
2.45Expected goals
1.28Panevėžys xG
1.17Džiugas Telšiai xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Panevėžys 1.3 – 1.2 Džiugas Telšiai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Panevėžys to win✗
41%
2.46
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Panevėžys / FT Panevėžys✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.08
–
Form
Panevėžys – last 6
WLDLDL
15 Mar
vs FK Trakai
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–4
L
7 Mar
vs Hegelmann Litauen
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1–4
L
22 Feb
vs Suduva Marijampole
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Kauno Žalgiris
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Džiugas Telšiai – last 5
DWWLW
22 Mar
@ TransINVEST Vilnius
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Banga
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ FK Trakai
2–0
W
7 Mar
vs Kauno Žalgiris
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3–2
W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Panevėžys and Džiugas Telšiai.
What is the prediction for Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
On our numbers Panevėžys have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Džiugas Telšiai 36%.
How many goals will there be in Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Our predicted score is Panevėžys 1–1 Džiugas Telšiai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Aukstaitijos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
