Rubin host Pakhtakor in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Rubin and 0.5 for Pakhtakor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rubin 71%, draw 21%, Pakhtakor 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.02.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Rubin 1–0 Pakhtakor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubin71%fair 1.41 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @5.10
Pakhtakor9%fair 11.75 · @7.40
2.48Expected goals
1.95Rubin xG
0.53Pakhtakor xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Rubin 1.9 – 0.5 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rubin to win
71%
1.41
1.35
Double chance
Rubin or draw
91%
1.09
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
2.02
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.99
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.31
Half-time result
Rubin ahead at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rubin / FT Rubin
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.10
–
Form
Rubin
No recent results on record.
Pakhtakor
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubin and Pakhtakor.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Rubin vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Rubin have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pakhtakor 9%.
How many goals will there be in Rubin vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubin vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Rubin 1–0 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rubin vs Pakhtakor?
Rubin vs Pakhtakor (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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