Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Kaluga to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKaluga to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceKaluga or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.37
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Kaluga vs Astrakhan preview and prediction
The match
Kaluga host Astrakhan in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Kaluga and 1.2 for Astrakhan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kaluga 60%, draw 21%, Astrakhan 18%.
Safer route: Kaluga or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.37.
Value angle: Kaluga to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kaluga or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kaluga 2–1 Astrakhan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaluga60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.32
Astrakhan18%fair 5.43 · @3.50
3.50Expected goals
2.28Kaluga xG
1.22Astrakhan xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kaluga 2.3 – 1.2 Astrakhan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kaluga to win✓
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Kaluga or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.53
1.37
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.72
Half-time result
Kaluga ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaluga / FT Kaluga✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Kaluga – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Astrakhan
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Astrakhan
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaluga and Astrakhan.
Our pick is Kaluga or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kaluga vs Astrakhan?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Astrakhan 18%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Astrakhan?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Astrakhan?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 2–1 Astrakhan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs Astrakhan?
Kaluga vs Astrakhan (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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