Avondale vs Melbourne City II prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Avondale to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvondale to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceAvondale or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.77
Avondale vs Melbourne City II preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL sees Avondale take on Melbourne City II on Saturday 18 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Avenger park.
Form guide
Avondale's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat St. Albans Saints 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Melbourne City II's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Sunshine Georgies 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Avondale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Avondale and 1.0 for Melbourne City II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avondale 66%, draw 18%, Melbourne City II 16%.
Safer route: Avondale or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Avondale to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Avondale 2–0 Melbourne City II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avondale66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @4.10
Melbourne City II16%fair 6.14 · @4.20
3.15Expected goals
2.19Avondale xG
0.96Melbourne City II xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Avondale 2.2 – 1.0 Melbourne City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avondale to win✓
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Avondale or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Half-time result
Avondale ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avondale / FT Avondale✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.77
–
Form
Avondale – last 6
WDLWWW
10 Apr
@ St. Albans Saints
3–2
W
28 Mar
vs Oakleigh Cannons
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Preston Lions
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Dandenong City
4–1
W
7 Mar
@ Dandenong Thunder
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Green Gully
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Melbourne City II – last 6
DDDWDL
12 Apr
vs Sunshine Georgies
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Heidelberg United
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Altona Magic
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs St. Albans Saints
5–0
W
8 Mar
vs Oakleigh Cannons
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Preston Lions
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avondale and Melbourne City II.
What is the prediction for Avondale vs Melbourne City II?
Our pick is Avondale to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Avondale vs Melbourne City II?
On our numbers Avondale have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Melbourne City II 16%.
How many goals will there be in Avondale vs Melbourne City II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avondale vs Melbourne City II?
Our predicted score is Avondale 2–0 Melbourne City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Avondale vs Melbourne City II?
Avondale vs Melbourne City II (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Avenger park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Avenger park
Hume City0
St. Albans Saints1
Sunshine Georgies0
Heidelberg United3
Altona Magic2
Dandenong Thunder4