Value bet: Dandenong Thunder to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDandenong Thunder to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.20
Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder preview and prediction
The match
Altona Magic host Dandenong Thunder in the Victoria NPL on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 09:15 (WAT).
Form guide
Altona Magic's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Heidelberg United 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Dandenong Thunder's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Green Gully 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Altona Magic and 1.8 for Dandenong Thunder. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Dandenong Thunder to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Altona Magic 0–2 Dandenong Thunder. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Altona Magic20%fair 4.99 · @3.20
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @3.55
Dandenong Thunder63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
2.71Expected goals
0.87Altona Magic xG
1.84Dandenong Thunder xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Altona Magic 0.9 – 1.8 Dandenong Thunder expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dandenong Thunder to win✓
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.40
Half-time result
Dandenong Thunder ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dandenong Thunder / FT Dandenong Thunder✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.20
–
Form
Altona Magic – last 6
DDDLLL
11 Apr
@ Heidelberg United
2–2
D
28 Mar
vs Green Gully
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Melbourne City II
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Bentleigh Greens
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs St. Albans Saints
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs South Melbourne
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dandenong Thunder – last 6
DLWLLL
11 Apr
vs Green Gully
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Bentleigh Greens
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs South Melbourne
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Hume City
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Avondale
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altona Magic and Dandenong Thunder.
What is the prediction for Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
On our numbers Altona Magic have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Dandenong Thunder 63%.
How many goals will there be in Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our predicted score is Altona Magic 0–2 Dandenong Thunder, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder?
Altona Magic vs Dandenong Thunder (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 09:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
Hume City0
St. Albans Saints1
Avondale3
Melbourne City II1
Sunshine Georgies0
Heidelberg United3