Value bet: Bentleigh Greens to win @ 2.38 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBentleigh Greens to win ✗48% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.89
Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens preview and prediction
The match
Dandenong City host Bentleigh Greens in the Victoria NPL on Saturday 11 April, with kick-off at 08:15 (WAT).
Form guide
Dandenong City's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to South Melbourne 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Bentleigh Greens's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Dandenong Thunder 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bentleigh Greens arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Dandenong City and 1.5 for Bentleigh Greens. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dandenong City 32%, draw 20%, Bentleigh Greens 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Bentleigh Greens to win at 2.38 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dandenong City 1–1 Bentleigh Greens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dandenong City32%fair 3.17 · @2.55
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.50
Bentleigh Greens48%fair 2.08 · @2.38
2.73Expected goals
1.18Dandenong City xG
1.54Bentleigh Greens xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Dandenong City 1.2 – 1.5 Bentleigh Greens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bentleigh Greens to win✗
48%
2.08
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bentleigh Greens / FT Bentleigh Greens✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.89
–
Form
Dandenong City – last 6
LDLDWL
31 Mar
@ South Melbourne
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs Hume City
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Avondale
1–4
L
6 Mar
vs Sunshine Georgies
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Heidelberg United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Melbourne City II
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bentleigh Greens – last 6
WWWLLW
27 Mar
vs Dandenong Thunder
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Green Gully
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ Altona Magic
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ South Melbourne
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Hume City
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Avondale
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dandenong City and Bentleigh Greens.
What is the prediction for Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens?
On our numbers Dandenong City have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bentleigh Greens 48%.
How many goals will there be in Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our predicted score is Dandenong City 1–1 Bentleigh Greens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens?
Dandenong City vs Bentleigh Greens (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
Heidelberg United2
Altona Magic2
Preston Lions0
South Melbourne3
Oakleigh Cannons3
Hume City2
Dandenong Thunder1
Green Gully1