Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvondale to win ✓63% · @1.65
Double chanceAvondale or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30
Avondale vs Dandenong City preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL sees Avondale take on Dandenong City on Saturday 14 March, kicking off at 05:00 (WAT) at Avenger park.
Form guide
Avondale's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Dandenong Thunder 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dandenong City's last 4: DWLD Most recently they drew with Sunshine Georgies 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Avondale and 0.7 for Dandenong City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avondale 63%, draw 22%, Dandenong City 15%.
Safer route: Avondale or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Avondale or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Avondale 1–0 Dandenong City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avondale63%fair 1.58 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.90
Dandenong City15%fair 6.78 · @4.00
2.38Expected goals
1.72Avondale xG
0.66Dandenong City xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Avondale 1.7 – 0.7 Dandenong City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avondale to win✓
63%
1.58
1.65
Double chance
Avondale or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Avondale ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avondale / FT Avondale✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.30
–
Form
Avondale – last 4
WWLL
7 Mar
@ Dandenong Thunder
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Green Gully
5–0
W
20 Feb
@ Bentleigh Greens
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs South Melbourne
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Dandenong City – last 4
DWLD
6 Mar
vs Sunshine Georgies
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ Heidelberg United
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Melbourne City II
2–4
L
14 Feb
@ St. Albans Saints
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avondale and Dandenong City.
What is the prediction for Avondale vs Dandenong City?
Our pick is Avondale or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Avondale vs Dandenong City?
On our numbers Avondale have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dandenong City 15%.
How many goals will there be in Avondale vs Dandenong City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avondale vs Dandenong City?
Our predicted score is Avondale 1–0 Dandenong City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Avondale vs Dandenong City?
Avondale vs Dandenong City (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Avenger park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Avenger park
Hume City3
Dandenong Thunder1
Melbourne City II5
St. Albans Saints0
Altona Magic0
Bentleigh Greens2