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Today's tips
Victoria NPL · Australia

Hume City

DWWL
3–1
FT

Dandenong Thunder

LLLD

Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder prediction & analysis

87%
Footrivo pick

Hume City or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Hume City to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultHume City to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceHume City or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.39

Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder preview and prediction

The match

Hume City host Dandenong Thunder in the Victoria NPL on Saturday 14 March, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Hume City's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Green Gully 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Dandenong Thunder's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Avondale 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Hume City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Hume City and 0.6 for Dandenong Thunder. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Hume City or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hume City 1–0 Dandenong Thunder. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Hume City61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.30
Dandenong Thunder13%fair 7.78 · @3.50
2.13Expected goals
1.56Hume City xG
0.57Dandenong Thunder xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Hume City 1.6 – 0.6 Dandenong Thunder expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHume City to win ✓61%1.631.91 ▲
Double chanceHume City or draw ✓87%1.151.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hume City / FT Hume City ✓38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.39–

Form

Hume City – last 4

DWWL
6 Mar@ Green Gully1–1D
28 Febvs Bentleigh Greens1–0W
19 Feb@ South Melbourne2–1W
13 Febvs Altona Magic1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dandenong Thunder – last 4

LLLD
7 Marvs Avondale0–1L
28 Feb@ Sunshine Georgies1–2L
21 Febvs Heidelberg United0–1L
15 Febvs Melbourne City II1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hume City and Dandenong Thunder.

Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder head-to-head page →

More Victoria NPL predictions

FT Avondale4 Dandenong City1 163%1.65X22%3.90215%4.00 1XAvondale or draw 85%@1.22 ✓
FT Melbourne City II5 St. Albans Saints0 145%2.10X20%3.50234%2.88 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Altona Magic0 Bentleigh Greens2 142%2.50X24%3.10234%2.50 GGBoth teams to score 52%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder?

Our pick is Hume City or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder?

On our numbers Hume City have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dandenong Thunder 13%.

How many goals will there be in Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder?

Our predicted score is Hume City 1–0 Dandenong Thunder, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder?

Hume City vs Dandenong Thunder (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.