South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens preview and prediction
The match
South Melbourne host Bentleigh Greens in the Victoria NPL on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 09:00 (WAT).
Form guide
South Melbourne's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Solomon Kings 5–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Bentleigh Greens's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Hume City 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
South Melbourne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for South Melbourne and 0.8 for Bentleigh Greens. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Melbourne 58%, draw 20%, Bentleigh Greens 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: South Melbourne 1–0 Bentleigh Greens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Melbourne58%fair 1.73 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.50
Bentleigh Greens23%fair 4.44 · @4.20
2.22Expected goals
1.47South Melbourne xG
0.75Bentleigh Greens xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 1.5 – 0.8 Bentleigh Greens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✓
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Form
South Melbourne – last 6
WWWDLW
4 Mar
vs Solomon Kings
5–0
W
28 Feb
@ Altona Magic
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs South Island United
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Auckland FC 2
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Hume City
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Avondale
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bentleigh Greens – last 3
LWD
28 Feb
@ Hume City
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Avondale
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Bentleigh Greens.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bentleigh Greens 23%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 1–0 Bentleigh Greens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens?
South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
Altona Magic0
St. Albans Saints1
Dandenong Thunder0
Avondale1