Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Avondale to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvondale to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL sees Dandenong Thunder take on Avondale on Saturday 7 March, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at George Andrews Reserve.
Form guide
Dandenong Thunder's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Sunshine Georgies 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Avondale's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Green Gully 5–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Avondale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Dandenong Thunder and 1.8 for Avondale. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Avondale to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Dandenong Thunder 1–1 Avondale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dandenong Thunder23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @3.65
Avondale58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
2.81Expected goals
1.00Dandenong Thunder xG
1.80Avondale xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Dandenong Thunder 1.0 – 1.8 Avondale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avondale to win✓
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Half-time result
Avondale ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avondale / FT Avondale✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Dandenong Thunder – last 3
LLD
28 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Heidelberg United
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Melbourne City II
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Avondale – last 3
WLL
28 Feb
vs Green Gully
5–0
W
20 Feb
@ Bentleigh Greens
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs South Melbourne
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dandenong Thunder and Avondale.
What is the prediction for Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale?
On our numbers Dandenong Thunder have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Avondale 58%.
How many goals will there be in Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale?
Our predicted score is Dandenong Thunder 1–1 Avondale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale?
Dandenong Thunder vs Avondale (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at George Andrews Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · George Andrews Reserve
Altona Magic0
St. Albans Saints1
South Melbourne1
Bentleigh Greens0