Value bet: Wanderers to win @ 2.87 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWanderers to win ✗41% · @2.87
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Wanderers vs Atletico Torque preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Torque travel to Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 22 February (13:45 WAT) to face Wanderers. Wanderers are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Torque sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Wanderers and 1.3 for Atletico Torque. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Wanderers to win at 2.87 – 41% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: Wanderers 1–1 Atletico Torque. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wanderers41%fair 2.42 · @2.87
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.10
Atletico Torque34%fair 2.91 · @2.30
2.79Expected goals
1.47Wanderers xG
1.32Atletico Torque xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.5 – 1.3 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wanderers to win✗
41%
2.42
2.87 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wanderers / FT Wanderers✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.05
–
Form
Wanderers
No recent results on record.
Atletico Torque – last 1
D
17 Feb
vs Juventud
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Wanderers vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Torque 34%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Atletico Torque?
Wanderers vs Atletico Torque (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.