Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Novo Hamburgo to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSao Jose to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.96
Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo preview and prediction
The match
Novo Hamburgo travel to Francisco Novelletto Neto in the Gaúcho 1 on Monday 23 February (00:00 WAT) to face Sao Jose.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Novo Hamburgo 3–2 Sao Jose.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Sao Jose and 0.9 for Novo Hamburgo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sao Jose 46%, draw 22%, Novo Hamburgo 32%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Novo Hamburgo to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Sao Jose 1–0 Novo Hamburgo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sao Jose46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Novo Hamburgo32%fair 3.13 · @3.35
2.12Expected goals
1.20Sao Jose xG
0.92Novo Hamburgo xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sao Jose 1.2 – 0.9 Novo Hamburgo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo?
On our numbers Sao Jose have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Novo Hamburgo 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo?
Our predicted score is Sao Jose 1–0 Novo Hamburgo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo?
Sao Jose vs Novo Hamburgo (Gaúcho 1) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gaúcho 1 · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto
Monsoon1
Avenida1