Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonsoon to win ✗42% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.76
Monsoon vs Avenida preview and prediction
The match
Monsoon host Avenida in the Gaúcho 1 on Monday 23 February, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Monsoon and 1.0 for Avenida. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monsoon 42%, draw 25%, Avenida 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Monsoon 1–0 Avenida. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monsoon42%fair 2.38 · @2.33
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.70
Avenida33%fair 3.05 · @3.30
2.16Expected goals
1.17Monsoon xG
0.99Avenida xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Monsoon 1.2 – 1.0 Avenida expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monsoon to win✗
42%
2.38
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monsoon / FT Monsoon✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.76
–
Form
Monsoon
No recent results on record.
Avenida
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monsoon and Avenida.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Monsoon vs Avenida?
On our numbers Monsoon have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Avenida 33%.
How many goals will there be in Monsoon vs Avenida?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monsoon vs Avenida?
Our predicted score is Monsoon 1–0 Avenida, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Monsoon vs Avenida?
Monsoon vs Avenida (Gaúcho 1) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gaúcho 1 · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto
Sao Jose1
Novo Hamburgo2