Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Fard Alborz to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFard Alborz to win ✗36% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Havadar vs Fard Alborz preview and prediction
The match
Fard Alborz travel to Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium in the Azadegan League on Sunday 22 February (16:15 WAT) to face Havadar. Havadar are 16th with 4 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Fard Alborz sit 3rd on 17 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.7 for Havadar and 0.7 for Fard Alborz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 79% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Fard Alborz to win at 3.40 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Havadar 0–0 Fard Alborz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Havadar35%fair 2.86 · @2.50
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.40
Fard Alborz36%fair 2.80 · @3.40
1.43Expected goals
0.71Havadar xG
0.72Fard Alborz xG
36%Both score
21%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–024%
0–117%
1–017%
1–112%
0–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Havadar 0.7 – 0.7 Fard Alborz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fard Alborz to win✗
36%
2.80
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.80
–
Form
Havadar – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Shahrdari Noshahr
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fard Alborz – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Havadar and Fard Alborz.
What is the prediction for Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
On our numbers Havadar have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Fard Alborz 36%.
How many goals will there be in Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 21% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
Our predicted score is Havadar 0–0 Fard Alborz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Havadar vs Fard Alborz?
Havadar vs Fard Alborz (Azadegan League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nassaji Mazandaran3