Value bet: Nassaji Mazandaran to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNassaji Mazandaran to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceNassaji Mazandaran or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗66% · fair 1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.06
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa preview and prediction
The match
Nassaji Mazandaran host Saipa in the Azadegan League on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Vatani Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Nassaji Mazandaran and 0.4 for Saipa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Nassaji Mazandaran to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Nassaji Mazandaran 1–0 Saipa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nassaji Mazandaran64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Saipa12%fair 8.47 · @5.50
1.68Expected goals
1.33Nassaji Mazandaran xG
0.36Saipa xG
34%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–019%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nassaji Mazandaran 1.3 – 0.4 Saipa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nassaji Mazandaran to win✓
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Nassaji Mazandaran or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nassaji Mazandaran / FT Nassaji Mazandaran✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
4.06
–
Form
Nassaji Mazandaran
No recent results on record.
Saipa – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Damash Gilanian
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nassaji Mazandaran and Saipa.
What is the prediction for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa?
On our numbers Nassaji Mazandaran have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Saipa 12%.
How many goals will there be in Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 34% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa?
Our predicted score is Nassaji Mazandaran 1–0 Saipa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa?
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Saipa (Azadegan League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vatani Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
