Value bet: Sheger Ketema to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSheger Ketema to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.96
Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Sheger Ketema take on Mebrat Hayl on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Sheger Ketema are 12th with 5 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while Mebrat Hayl sit 8th on 7 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.8 for Sheger Ketema and 0.6 for Mebrat Hayl. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 84% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Sheger Ketema to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sheger Ketema 0–0 Mebrat Hayl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sheger Ketema43%fair 2.32 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.40
Mebrat Hayl30%fair 3.34 · @3.10
1.37Expected goals
0.79Sheger Ketema xG
0.58Mebrat Hayl xG
44%Both score
16%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–025%
1–020%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%
From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 0.8 – 0.6 Mebrat Hayl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheger Ketema to win✗
43%
2.32
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.96
–
Form
Sheger Ketema
No recent results on record.
Mebrat Hayl
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheger Ketema and Mebrat Hayl.
What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mebrat Hayl 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 16% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 0–0 Mebrat Hayl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Sheger Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arba Minch Kenema1
Dire Dawa Kenema1