Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 22 Feb 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultNegelle Arsi to win ✗44% · @2.38

Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.44

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.44

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.62

Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi preview and prediction

The match

Arba Minch Kenema host Negelle Arsi in the Premier League on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT).

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.7 for Arba Minch Kenema and 1.0 for Negelle Arsi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely.

Betting angles

Win chances: Arba Minch Kenema 30%, draw 27%, Negelle Arsi 44%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.44.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Arba Minch Kenema 0–0 Negelle Arsi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Arba Minch Kenema30%fair 3.39 · @3.25

Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.45

Negelle Arsi44%fair 2.28 · @2.38

1.71Expected goals

0.73Arba Minch Kenema xG

0.98Negelle Arsi xG

48%Both score

25%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–018%

0–118%

1–013%

1–113%

0–29%

1–26%

From our goals model: Arba Minch Kenema 0.7 – 1.0 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Negelle Arsi to win ✗	44%	2.28	2.38
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	73%	1.36	1.44 ▲
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	52%	1.92	1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	51%	1.96	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	54%	1.86	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	26%	3.91	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	18%	5.62	–

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Negelle Arsi	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Mekelakeya	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Welayta Dicha	5	2	2	1	+6	8
4	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	5	2	2	1	0	8
5	Halaba Ketema	5	2	2	1	-4	8
6	Ethiopian Medhin	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Bahardar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Mebrat Hayl	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Kedus Giorgis	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Adama Kenema	5	1	3	1	0	6
11	Awassa Kenema	4	1	2	1	0	5
12	Sheger Ketema	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Hadiya Hosaena	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Ethiopia Bunna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Fasil Ketema	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Sidama Bunna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Gamo Chencha	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Team

Pts

-4

-1

-1

-4

-1

-1

-2

-4

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

On our numbers Arba Minch Kenema have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Negelle Arsi 44%.

How many goals will there be in Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Our predicted score is Arba Minch Kenema 0–0 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes