Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFluminense to win ✓71% · @1.19
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Fluminense vs Bangu preview and prediction
The match
Bangu travel to Estádio do Maracanã in the Carioca 1 on Monday 16 February (22:00 WAT) to face Fluminense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Fluminense and 0.7 for Bangu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fluminense 71%, draw 16%, Bangu 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Fluminense 2–0 Bangu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fluminense71%fair 1.41 · @1.19
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @5.80
Bangu13%fair 7.56 · @13.00
2.72Expected goals
2.04Fluminense xG
0.69Bangu xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fluminense 2.0 – 0.7 Bangu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✓
71%
1.41
1.19
Double chance
Fluminense or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.53
Half-time result
Fluminense ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
Fluminense
No recent results on record.
Bangu
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fluminense and Bangu.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Fluminense vs Bangu?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bangu 13%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Bangu?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Bangu?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 2–0 Bangu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Bangu?
Fluminense vs Bangu (Carioca 1) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca 1 · Brazil · Estádio do Maracanã
Nova Iguaçu0
CFRJ Maricá1